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All
the signs are there -- the economy, for the hotel industry in particular and the country as a whole, is improving. TIA is forecasting an increase of 3.5% in
business travel and a 3.2% increase in domestic leisure travel for 2004. This follows an estimated decrease in business travel of 3.7% in 2003 and an increase
of 2.8% in domestic leisure travel for this year. (TIA Annual Travel Forecast, TIA.org).
The hotel industry is collectively waiting to
exhale. It would appear that business travel is firing up although TIA president
and CEO, William S. Norman cautions that "it will be some time before business
travel returns to its peak levels of the late 1990s."
There is speculation that 2005 will see the
industry hitting numbers close to those of 2000, largely considered to be the
last good year in the industry.
These are all positive signs. What could possibly
go wrong? The conundrum of an improving economy is that new hotel development
will increase proportionately. Patrick Ford of Lodging Econometrics, foresees
this in an article entitled "Improving Economic conditions Point to a Mid-Decade
Development Upswing."
The industry has reason for optimism, but will
demand improve sufficiently by 2005 to absorb that new supply and will the
revenues and profits of 2000 really materialize with increased inventory
supplies?
This is of special concern to operators of aging
hotel products who may not have been in a position to inject capital into their
properties. It is also of concern to those who have because a renovated
20-year-old hotel still has an uphill battle against new hotel product.
The bottom line is, can we go back to the days
when demand was sufficiently strong and all that was needed was to manage rate
and inventory? Will hoteliers be tempted to cling to their rate structures of
the boom years and will developers have the "build it and they will e"
attitude that was so prevalent during the mid 1990s?
For every new hotel that opens, a re-positioning
in the market occurs. The existing hotels have to re-think their positioning
strategy in terms of the price/value equation in the mind of the consumer.
This requires an honest and agonizing
re-appraisal of the property in relation to the new products entering the
market. I am not just referring to lowering the rate -- that is a knee jerk
reaction. On the other hand, stubbornly maintaining one's rate and incremental
increases in the budget is to bury one's head in the sand.
To re-position an existing hotel in the face of
new competition requires a comprehensive strategy in terms of value, rate and
allocation of sales resources to reflect the shift in the market that will
occur. This strategy should also include an evaluation of the franchise
affiliation and its alignment with the changes in the market.
The process of re-thinking a strategy should
include everyone from the ownership, management and sales department. The
process should ultimately include the following:
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Franchise Affiliation. The
proliferation of franchise brands and the reduction of proximity to existing
franchisees are issues that the industry as a whole will have to e to terms
with. I worked with a developer who was seriously considering the purchase of an
existing independent property with a good location and that could be upgraded
for a reasonable capital investment. The problem was that there was no franchise
available in that market that would be aligned with the new product. I have
spoken to many operators who have been in the position of adopting a franchise
that they were less than pleased with simply because it was the only one
available. How well is the franchise working for the property, does it reflect
the product and how well does it assist you in a new competitive situation?
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Price/Value Equation.
What will be the competitive advantages that a new
hotel can exploit to increase its market share? How can an existing hotel build
value into its product and rate structure to offset the new competitors
strategy? Which benefits of the new property will be appealing to an existing
property's guests and how can the existing property offset them? |
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Sales
and Marketing Strategies. This is
no time to re-cycle the marketing plan of years past. Which market segments is
the new competitor going to target? Can you identify additional or previously
ignored market segments to offset potential inroads into a market segment
targeted by the competition? Can you pursue these market segments more
effectively by reallocating sales resources, both people and marketing dollars?
Can you effectively track the ROI on marketing and sales initiatives that are
now in place and any new ones that you envision? |
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